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Century 21 Signature Realty
#207, 2920 Calgary Trail NW, Edmonton, Alberta
P: 780-485-2100
F: 780-485-2180

Thursday, September 29, 2011 - Influx to Alberta from other provinces running at a five-year high


A former media colleague from Vancouver called a couple of weeks ago. I hadn’t talked to him in 10 years.

After decades on the West Coast, he had just moved to Calgary with his wife and three kids.

The reason? Good jobs, lower housing costs and higher disposable incomes. In other words, the same factors that draw many Canadians to Alberta.

Sure, he’ll miss the ocean, he admits. “But once you get over the idea of living on the Prairies, life is pretty good here.”

My nephew recently came to the same conclusion. He moved back to Edmonton last month, after a dozen years in Victoria. “There was just nothing going on there, and no decent job opportunities,” he told me. “It was depressing.”

His partner, a talented youngarchitect from Winnipeg, echoed those sentiments. She, too, has made Edmonton her new home.

Both have already landed good jobs in the Alberta capital, and are excited about what the future holds.

They’re not alone. In the first half of this year, 10,000 net newcomers moved to Alberta from other parts of Canada.

At that pace, Alberta is on track to record its strongest year for interprovincial migration since 2006, when more than 46,000 Canadians moved here, says ATB Financial economist Dan Sumner.

It also marks a sharp turnaround from 2009 and 2010, when Alberta recorded three straight quartersof net population outflow toother provinces.

“Interprovincial migration can be a difficult variable to predict,” Sumner says in a report issued Wednesday. “However, with the unemployment rate lower in Alberta, wages higher, housing prices relatively affordable and the provincial economy expected to grow among the fastest in the country, it’s hard to imagine that more Canadians won’t be callingAlberta home over the near future.”

Of course, interprovincial migration is just one component of population growth. Birth rates and international migration levels are also key factors.

But these arrows are also pointing up, notes Sumner, setting the stage for what’s shaping up to be a new population growth cycle.

“In the second quarter of 2011, population growth in Alberta really picked up. We had the strongest quarterly growth since the first quarter of 2009, driven by both higher levels of natural population increase and higher international migration,” he says.

The bottom line? Alberta’s population grew by 21,233 in the second quarter and 37,160 in the first half of 2011 — roughly equivalent to the population of Grande Prairie.

If that pace continues for the full year, Alberta will effectively add a city the size of Red Deer to its population in 2011.

That means more demand for rental apartments, new homesautomobiles, furniture, appliances and all sorts of consumer goods and services — in other words, all the things that make an economy tick.

It also means more available workers in a province that created 86,000 new jobs in the past year, and now boasts one of the lowest jobless rates in Canada, at 5.6 per cent.

posted in General at Thu, 29 Sep 2011 07:52:15 -0600

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